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Prediction markets
9 active markets
· category “Fed”
How it works
How to trade
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Other
60%
Pause–Pause–Pause
38%
7 more
$554K
Vol.
Sep 16
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$42
63 trading now
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting
69%
September Meeting
61%
3 more
$1.49M
Vol.
Oct 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$36
64 trading now
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Other
71%
Pause–Pause–Pause
26%
7 more
$507K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$35
46 trading now
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)
Pause–Pause–Pause
74%
Other
26%
7 more
$848K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$34
52 trading now
Fed Decision in October?
No change
55%
25 bps increase
32%
3 more
$322K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$46
48 trading now
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
Inflation 20+ times
86%
Balance Sheet
85%
32 more
$37K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$29
45 trading now
How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?
0
24%
Yes
No
1
24%
Yes
No
$44K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$104
53 trading now
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
2 (50 bps)
35%
0 (0 bps)
31%
4 more
$53K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$72
42 trading now
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$318K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
55 trading now
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