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Prediction markets
13 active markets
· category “Oil”
How it works
How to trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
13%
chance
Yes
No
$1.85M
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$200
64 trading now
Crude Oil all time high by...?
19%
chance
Yes
No
$1.98M
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$132
61 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 20?
50-74
46%
<50
35%
3 more
$64K
Vol.
Jul 26
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$54
43 trading now
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
99%
30+
12%
5 more
$1.30M
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
22%
chance
Yes
No
$481K
Vol.
Sep 30
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$116
47 trading now
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
51%
December
16%
5 more
$118K
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$50
44 trading now
Houthis successfully target shipping on...?
July 28
38%
August 8
33%
37 more
NEW
$8.1K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$67
46 trading now
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
August 31
63%
August 15
57%
4 more
NEW
$6.4K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$40
44 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
0-20
89%
20-40
6%
3 more
$225K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$28
53 trading now
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
300M
98%
285M
72%
4 more
$14K
Vol.
Sep 9
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
52 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of July?
34-36
24%
<25
19%
5 more
$11K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$106
43 trading now
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of July 20?
<220
61%
220-229
18%
4 more
$8.1K
Vol.
Jul 26
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$41
44 trading now
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